研究集会

Eric Girardin
(Aix Marseille University, Aix Marseille School of Economics, CNRS & EHESS)
& Harry X. Wu
(Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University)

The dating of growth cycles in China faces numerous challenges. Measurement biases of very different types, affecting alternative measures of economic activity, certainly represent the major one. Existing work has only very partially tried to correct such biases, mostly through the combination of indicators in a coincident index (CEI). However such exercises have ignored the information contained in GDP growth, due to the suspected upward bias and smoothing affecting that series (mostly in its annual form). Since CEI and GDP may contain both noise and an informative component, extracting their common component seems likely to satisfy the well-known commoving nature of the business cycle. A Markov-switching VAR enables us to model the dynamic relationships between them and detect their joint turning points.

10:00-10:05   Opening Remarks
Yasuhiro Omori (University of Tokyo)《プロジェクト研究代表者》

Realized Variance and Covariance
Chair: Isao Ishida (Konan University)

10:05-10:40   Daisuke Nagakura (Keio University)
(Coauthor: Toshiaki Watanabe)

10:40-11:15   Masato Ubukata (Kushiro Public University of Economics)
(Coauthor: Toshiaki Watanabe)

11:15-11:50   Takayuki Morimoto (Kwansei Gakuin University)
(Coauthor: Kaito Yamauchi)

Structural Change
Chair: Koichi Maekawa (Hiroshima University of Economics)

12:30-13:05   Toshiaki Watanabe (Hitotsubashi University)
(Coauthor: Ayano Sato)

13:05-13:40   Amirullah Setya Hardi (Hiroshima University of Economics)
(Coauthor: Koichi Maekawa)

13:40-14:15   Kosuke Oya (Osaka University)
(Coauthor: Ryo Kinoshita)

Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models
Chair: Yasuhiro Omori (University of Tokyo)

14:25-15:00   Isao Ishida (Konan University)

15:00-15:35   Makoto Takahashi (Osaka University)
(Coauthors: Yasuhiro Omori and Toshiaki Watanabe)

15:35-16:10   Tetsuya Takaishi (Hiroshima University of Economics)

Multivariate Realized Stochastic Volatility Models
Chair: Toshiaki Watanabe (Hitotsubashi University)

16:20-16:55   Yuta Kurose (Osaka University)
(Coauthor: Yasuhiro Omori)

16:55-17:30   Yasuhiro Omori (University of Tokyo)
(Coauthors: Shinichiro Shirota and Hedibert F. Lopes)

Multivariate Time Series Models
Chair: Kosuke Oya (Osaka University)

10:00-10:35   Tomoaki Nakatani (Hokkaido University)

10:35-11:10   Tsunehiro Ishihara (Hitotsubashi University)
(Coauthors: Yasuhiro Omori and Siddhartha Chib)

11:10-11:45   Jouchi Nakajima (Bank of Japan)
(Coauthor: Mike West)

11:45-11:50   Closing Remarks
Toshiaki Watanabe (Hitotsubashi University) 

Yukinobu Kitamura (Hitotsubashi University)
Jinjun Xue (Nagoya University)《プロジェクト研究代表者》

1. V. Vamsi (University of Hyderabad)
2. Yukinobu Kitamura (Hitotsubashi University), Chia, Ngee Choon, Albert Tsi Ka Cheng (Singapore National University)
3. Kittipong Rueanthip (Thailand Development Research Institute)

4. Yi Zhang (Institute of Sociology, CASS)
5. Jinjun Xue (Nagoya University), Wensh Gao (Institute of Population and Labor Economics, CASS)
6. Eiji Mangyo (Nagoya University)
7. Tadashi Sonoda (Nagoya University) and Chuliang Luo (Beijing Normal University)

8. Xia Gao (Henan University of economics and Law, China)
9. Shanping Yan (Doshisha University)
10. Erbiao Dai (ICSEAD)
11. Quheng Deng (Institute of Economic Research, CASS)

Discussion on the next schedule of workshop and paper publication
Conclusion Remarks
(Yukinobu Kitamura and Jinjun Xue) 

14:30～14:50
　第1次産業　　溝口敏行氏（一橋大学）

14:50～15:10
　第2次産業　　原康宏氏（広島経済大学） 《プロジェクト研究代表者》

15:10～15:30
　第3次産業およびその他　文浩一氏（一橋大学）

15:30～16:00　　質疑応答および出版にむけてのまとめ

■16日（木）　経済研究所 ラウンジ

9:00～12:00

ロシア・ソ連の長期経済統計(1)：ソ連および移行期ロシアの資本ストック・労働投入の計測

13:00～15:00

ロシア・ソ連の長期経済統計(2)：鉱工業・製造業部門GDP成長率の計測

15:00～17:00

ロシア・ソ連の長期経済統計(3)：ソ連期ロシアの非公式経済規模の推計

■17日（金）　経済研究所 会議室３

9:00～12:00

ロシア・ソ連経済成長の計量分析(1)：ソ連期ロシアの生産関数の推定

13:00～15:00

ロシア・ソ連経済成長の計量分析(2)：ソ連・ロシアにおける技術革新とTFP

15:00～17:00

ロシア・ソ連経済成長の計量分析(3)：部門別非公式経済の規模と実質GDP成長率への寄与の分析

報告者１：Rhema Vaithianathan氏 (University of Auckland・Singapore Management University)《プロジェクト研究代表者》
“Support for Franchise Extension for Children: Evidence on Japanese Attitude to Demeny Voting”

報告者２：西條辰義氏（高知工科大学・大阪大学）/ Tatsuyoshi Saijo (Kochi University of Technology・Osaka University)
“Future Design”

報告者３：石田良氏（財務総合政策研究所）/ Ryo Ishida (Visiting Scholar, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan)
“Determinants of Charitable Giving to Unexpected Natural Disasters: Evidences from Two Big Earthquakes in Japan” 

報告者1. 井上 彰氏 (立命館大学)
「平等 ―その基礎をめぐる考察―」
討論者：堀田義太郎氏 (東京理科大学)

報告者2. 小塩隆士氏 (一橋大学)
「所得格差と主観的厚生」

午前（10:00～）

北村行伸氏（一橋大学）・宮崎毅氏（九州大学）
"Income redistribution and income exemption: evidence from Japan（仮）"
討論者：林田実氏（北九州市立大学）

坂本和靖氏（群馬大学）・森田陽子氏（名古屋市立大学）《プロジェクト研究代表者》
「女性の就業継続に与える影響に関する実証分析 ―結婚・出産・小学校就学」
討論者：出島敬久氏（上智大学）

午後１（13:00～）

伊藤伸介氏（明海大学）・出島敬久氏（上智大学）・木下千大氏（一橋大学）
「企業の収益・財務内容と雇用量に関するパネルデータ分析（仮）」
討論者：坂本和靖氏（群馬大学）

出島敬久氏（上智大学）　
「TBA」
討論者：村尾徹士氏（九州大学）

午後２（15:15～）

佐藤慶一氏（専修大学）・伊藤伸介氏（明海大学）
「賃金・就業行動に関するミクロシミュレーションモデルの構築可能性について（仮）」
討論者：宮崎毅氏（九州大学）

坂田幸繁氏（中央大学）《プロジェクト研究代表者》
「景況パネルを用いた企業行動の予測について（仮）」
討論者：村田磨理子氏（(公財)統計情報研究開発センター）

総合討論（17:15～）

北村行伸氏（一橋大学）

午前（10:30～）

Tue Gorgens (Australian National University)
“Quantifying gains from improvements in the treatment of diabetes”
(Co-organized by Center for Economic Institutions and Economic Development Seminar)

午後（13:00～）

Rie Goto (Cambridge University)《プロジェクト研究代表者》
“Interrelationship between nutrition, disease and poverty”

Shoko Konishi (University of Tokyo)
“MIRAB society and obesity: A case study in the Kingdom of Tonga”

Shinya Yasumoto (University of Tokyo)
“Heat exposure assessment using people's mobility data: A case study of Dhaka, Bangladesh”

Satoru Shimokawa (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
“How food consumption is affected by knowledge about healthy diet and exercise: evidence from China”

Drew Griffen (University of Tokyo)
“Height and calories in early childhood”

Taro Yamauchi (Hokkaido University)
“Field research on nutritional adaptation of local populations in developing countries”

Session 1:

Dr. Lidia de Tienda Palop (JSPS Postdoctoral Fellow, Hokkaido University)
“The Dimensions of Well-being and Its Measurement within the Capabilities Approach”

Discussant: Prof. Paul Dumouchel (Ritsumeikan University)

Session 2:

Prof. Koji Nakatogawa (Hokkaido University)
“Why Did John Rawls Regard Symbolic Logic Irrelevant to the Framework of His Theory of Justice?: Burton Dreben and ‘Semantics’ during the Late 50's and 60's at Harvard”

Discussant:

Prof. Paul Dumouchel (Ritsumeikan University)

Organizer: