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Abstract

Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 249-258 (1999)

“Exploring a Simulation Model of Social Security Pensions in Japan”
Noriyuki Takayama (The Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University), Kotaro Yamaguchi (The Daiichi Life Research Institute)

Using the latest data on the Japanese social security pension, we have explored a simulation model of its long-term financial balance. With a partial funding shift to a consumption-based tax, a moderate slimming-down of the future anticipated benefits will enable the contribution rate to stay at the level no higher than the current 17.35 percent. A partial replacement by a 4-percent private personal retirement account is also examined. Early-and delayed-retirement options are considered, too.