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Abstract

Vol. 71, No. 4, pp. 317-332 (2020)

“Violence during Civil War, Risk Preference, and Time Preference: Evidence from North-West Pakistan”
Takashi Kurosaki (Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University), Yuichi Kubota (College of Law, Nihon University), Kazuhiro Obayashi (Graduate School of Law, Faculty of Law, Hitotsubashi University)

How does the exposure to violence during civil war affect citizen’s life during the recovery process? As one of these influences of wartime violence, we analyze citizens’ time and risk preferences for the case of north-west Pakistan where a decades-long civil war ended and tribal autonomy was converted into the governance by the central state of Pakistan. Using micro data of approximately 2,800 respondents collected in a unique survey conducted in 2018-19, we found that respondents who were exposed to violence during the civil war had higher risk aversion and present bias. The tendency for risk aversion is stronger among those who experienced multiple types of violence and whose family members also suffered from the violence. The correlation of risk aversion/present bias with violence exposure was higher among less educated respondents than among more educated respondents.

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